Interfaces
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INTERFACES
Vol. 36, No. 6, November-December 2006, pp. 530-544
DOI: 10.1287/inte.1060.0252
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Defending Critical Infrastructure

Gerald Brown, Matthew Carlyle, Javier Salmerón, Kevin Wood

Operations Research Department, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California 93943
Operations Research Department, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California 93943
Operations Research Department, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California 93943
Operations Research Department, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California 93943

gbrown{at}nps.edu
mcarlyle{at}nps.edu
jsalmero{at}nps.edu
kwood{at}nps.edu

We apply new bilevel and trilevel optimization models to make critical infrastructure more resilient against terrorist attacks. Each model features an intelligent attacker (terrorists) and a defender (us), information transparency, and sequential actions by attacker and defender. We illustrate with examples of the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the US Border Patrol at Yuma, Arizona, and an electrical transmission system. We conclude by reporting insights gained from the modeling experience and many "red-team" exercises. Each exercise gathers open-source data on a real-world infrastructure system, develops an appropriate bilevel or trilevel model, and uses these to identify vulnerabilities in the system or to plan an optimal defense.

Key Words: critical infrastructure protection; bilevel program; trilevel program; mixed-integer program; homeland security; homeland defense



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Suicide Bombings and Targeted Killings in (Counter-) Terror Games
Journal of Conflict Resolution, October 1, 2007; 51(5): 772 - 792.
[Abstract] [PDF]




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